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Analyse av nasjonal beredskap og krigstrussel i Bosnia

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Bosnias politiske historie og system Bosnia dukker stadig opp som samtaletema i militær sammenheng på grunn av sin nylige historie. Etter å ha vært en del av Jugoslavia siden 1920 holdt Bosnia en uavhengighetsavstemning i 1992. I respons til Bosnias uavhengighetserklæring forsøkte de bosniske serberne sin egen uavhengighetserklæring med Republika Srpska. Krigen som fulgte er beryktet for sin brutalitet, flyktningstrømmer, dødelighet og krigsforbrytelser. Dette ble den dødeligste europeiske konflikten siden 1950, nylig slått av krigen i Ukraina i offertall. Etter nesten fire år ble krigen avsluttet uten vinnere og endte med organisasjonen av en etnisk oppdelt stat etter Daytonavtalen.  Bosnia har to likeverdige landsdeler: Føderasjonen Bosnia og Hercegovina og Republika Srpska. Hele landet er ledet av det roterende presidentskapet, som alltid er en av de tre valgte presidentene. Hver av de tre anerkjente nasjonale etniske gruppene har sin egen president. Føderasjonen er laget for ...
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Tajikistan, the model dictatorship

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 Tajikistan is not a country often discussed by international media. It is a poor post-soviet state without much to make it stick out. It does not have the economic miracles and close relations with the west of the Baltics, nor the natural gas wealth of western Central Asia, nor has it been assaulted by Russia like Georgia and Ukraine. This lack of unique traits means Tajikistan is almost anonymous when seen with an international lens, but it also means Tajikistan can be used as an excellent case study. Tajikistan is a very normal dictatorship, with all the abuses and refusal of freedoms as that entails. Map of Tajikistan in Asia by Mapsland The Republic of Tajikistan has been ruled by president Emomali Rahmon since 1992, making him the longest reigning leader of any post-soviet state. His reign began with him as a “nondescript” compromise candidate selected to halt the escalating civil war, but he has slowly become the singular personalistic “strongman” who completely dominates ...
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Armenia freezes membership in the CSTO. Why, and what does it mean?

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  On February 22 nd the prime minister of Armenia, Nikol Pashinyan, announced that Armenia would freeze its membership in the Collective Security Treaty Organization, the Russian-led military alliance. [1] The future of Armenian membership in the alliance is uncertain. The decision to freeze Armenian membership comes in the wake of increased Azerbaijani pressure, improved Armenia-NATO relations, and a significant deterioration of Armenian-Russian relations. The Armenian threat of Azeri aggression has not ended with the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict having ended in an Azerbaijani victory. Azerbaijan has not given up on the Zangezur corridor concept, which would link the Azeri Nakchivan exclave to the rest of Azerbaijan. Azerbaijani prime minister Heydar Aliyev also often speaks of Armenian lands as “west Azerbaijan”, and that he hopes for a settlement where “west Azerbaijanis” can move home (which would then be into Armenia). [2] Pashinyan is keenly aware of the implicit threat in ...
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